NBA Betting Analysis, Free Pick: Bucks vs. Rockets


The Milwaukee Bucks will be on the road this Wednesday evening, February 27, as they travel to Texas for a basketball betting matchup against the Houston Rockets that is set to take place at the Toyota Center, with tip off scheduled for 8:05 PM EST. The Oddsmakers are siding with the home team in this matchup, listing the Rockets as heavy -8 point favorites. As far as the total is concerned, a very high scoring affair is expected, which explains why the over/under is coming in at 218 1/2 points. The Milwaukee Bucks enter play tonight one game below .500 with a straight up record of 27 wins and 28 losses on the year. However, they are a decent road team against the spread, covering 16 of 27 contests during their travels this season. The Bucks are one the worst shooting teams in the NBA, as their 43.4 field goal percentage ranks 28th in the league. Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets come into this matchup with 31 straight up wins compared to 27 loses on the season. They own a stellar 18-9 ATS record when playing at home this season, while going 17-13 ATS when laying the chalk. The Rockets own the second highest scoring offense in the NBA, averaging 106.3 points per game, but their defense is next to last in the league, giving up an average of 103.5 per contest. Betting Trends Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS in their last four games played on a Wednesday and just 1-9 ATS in their last ten versus Southwest Division opponents. The Bucks are under in six of their last eight games played overall. Houston is a sterling 8-2 ATS in their last ten games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Eastern Conference opponents. The Rockets are over in four of their last five games played at home. Prediction While they play no defense, the Rockets have proved to be a machine on offense – not to mention they are tough to beat on their home court. For this reason, I am laying the chalk with the Rockets in this contest to beat the Bucks and cover the point spread. Rockets -8 Follow us on Twitter @ bballbet PJ Laferla is a practicing freelance writer, professional handicapper, and the founder of If you are interested in hiring PJ Laferla for freelance writing or for winning picks against the spread, please submit all inquires to